{"id":742,"date":"2020-04-18T13:20:51","date_gmt":"2020-04-18T13:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/?page_id=742"},"modified":"2023-09-13T18:56:07","modified_gmt":"2023-09-13T18:56:07","slug":"covid19","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-columns ugb-columns ugb-320c3a0 ugb-columns--design-plain ugb-columns--columns-2 ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-320c3a0 > .ugb-inner-block > .ugb-block-content > .ugb-columns__item{grid-template-columns:1.40fr 0.60fr !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-columns__item ugb-320c3a0-content-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-column ugb-column ugb-5442a52 ugb-column--design-plain ugb-main-block\"><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-column__item ugb-5442a52-column-wrapper\"><div class=\"ugb-column__content-wrapper\">\n<p>Desde o in\u00edcio da pandemia, atuamos no desenvolvimento de m\u00e9todos num\u00e9ricos e an\u00e1lises estat\u00edsticas que pudessem auxiliar o entendimento e controle da pandemia. Boa parte dos estudos dizem respeito a an\u00e1lises obtidas a partir de dados de mobilidade por geolocaliza\u00e7\u00e3o de celulares em conjunto com modelos matem\u00e1ticos e estat\u00edsticos para compreens\u00e3o e a\u00e7\u00e3o na pandemia. Tratam-se de trabalhos envolvendo uma extensa rede de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#agradecimentos\">colaboradores.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Apresenta\u00e7\u00e3o : <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/presentation\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vR_SRcNPI_l-_OWGo-Xabj80X_HssfbImVUcL8iXf4YR7PbLfxV5Ej_I7P69r-JJsxFWAuUOdMwRyft\/pub?start=false&amp;loop=false&amp;delayms=60000\" target=\"_blank\">16&#215;9<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/presentation\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTdR1Ms6f88RAdGiDH289Qh5JsJT0L4wZu5_vbZ3XTs0_XTEoWaY9ipix4cfkVCFqIECOF7JLvMzcqm\/pub?start=false&amp;loop=false&amp;delayms=60000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">3&#215;4<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-column ugb-column ugb-25cdd80 ugb-column--design-plain ugb-main-block\"><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-column__item ugb-25cdd80-column-wrapper\"><div class=\"ugb-column__content-wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/5f47ee13ae88e75d6740ab26_127_1582328886a.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/5f47ee13ae88e75d6740ab26_127_1582328886a.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1429\" style=\"width:213px;height:177px\" width=\"213\" height=\"177\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-51569f7 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-51569f7 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4> Dados de Mobilidade <\/h4> \n<ul>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#mobility_data\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">   Sobre os dados de georreferenciamento de celulares (inloco)\n<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#mobility_data\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#iso_index\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">   \u00cdndice de isolamento social para milhares de cidades brasileiras (Mar\u00e7o-2020 a Mar\u00e7o-2021)  <\/a> <\/li>\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#mobility\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nAn\u00e1lises de mobilidade entre cidades do Brasil obtidos com dados de geolocaliza\u00e7\u00e3o de celulares <\/a> <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<h4> Resultados Cient\u00edficos <\/h4> \n<ul>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#risk_mobility\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \n An\u00e1lises de risco para a dissemina\u00e7\u00e3o da COVID-19 para munic\u00edpios de SP e RJ baseadas em dados de mobilidade (Plos-ONE)<\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#social_isol\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nO isolamento social e a din\u00e2mica da pandemia (Cell Patterns)<\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#genomic\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\n Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o e dissemina\u00e7\u00e3o da COVID19 do ponto de vista gen\u00f4mico e de mobilidade (Science) <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#highways\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Fatores influenciando no espalhamento: estradas, disponibilidade de leitos (Nature Scientific Reports)<\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#robot\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \n Estrat\u00e9gias de controle \u00f3timo para COVID-19 &#8211; Robot Dance  (Euro J. Comp. Optimization) \n <\/a> <\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#attackrate\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nAttack rate em Manaus comparado com S\u00e3o Paulo (Science e Lancet)\n <\/a> <\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#p1\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nCaracteriza\u00e7\u00e3o e espalhamento da linhagem P1 de Manaus (Science)\n <\/a> <\/li>\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#vulnerability\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nVulnerabilidade social e racial em SP relativo \u00e0 COVID-19 (BMJ &#8211; Global Health)\n <\/a> <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#seismic\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> \nVibra\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00edsmicas e o isolamento social (Geophys. Res. Lett.) <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#scale_free\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> \nDin\u00e2mica livre de escala (Fractal) da COVID-19 (Applied Mathematical Modelling) <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h4> Equipe, parceiros, colaboradores e agradecimentos <\/h4> \n<ul>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#agradecimentos\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Para estudar algo com essa natureza de complexidade \u00e9 imprescind\u00edvel trabalhar em parcerias. <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-9e7dbba ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-9e7dbba hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"mobility_data\">Dados de Mobilidade <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Em boa parte dos estudos que realizamos, utilizamos dados da empresa <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/mapabrasileirodacovid.inloco.com.br\/pt\/\" target=\"_blank\">Inloco<\/a>, que em 2021 mudou para <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.incognia.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Incognia<\/a>. A emprese oferece servi\u00e7os de intelig\u00eancia digital com base em informa\u00e7\u00f5es da localiza\u00e7\u00e3o de usu\u00e1rios de aparelhos celulares.  A empresa tem um grande cuidado com quest\u00f5es de privacidade (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.incognia.com\/pt\/politicas\/covid\" target=\"_blank\">politica de privacidade<\/a>) e abriu dados an\u00f4nimos e agregados para pesquisas cient\u00edficas na pandemia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como s\u00e3o coletados?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Os clientes da inloco\/incognia s\u00e3o empresas de diversos ramos que instalam um m\u00f3dulo (Software Development Kit &#8211; SDK) em seus aplicativos de celulares para usarem tecnologias de localiza\u00e7\u00e3o da Inloco\/Incognia. A gama de clientes durante o ano 2020 era muito grande, desde grandes varejistas, e-commerce, jogos, m\u00eddias digitais, entre outros, cobrindo milh\u00f5es de aparelhos celulares e por per\u00edodos cobrindo mais de 1\/4 da popula\u00e7\u00e3o do pa\u00eds. O usu\u00e1rio do aplicativo pode permitir ou n\u00e3o a funcionalidade de localiza\u00e7\u00e3o (n\u00e3o s\u00e3o coletados dados sens\u00edveis!). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-columns ugb-columns ugb-8c321e7 ugb-columns--design-plain ugb-columns--columns-2 ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-8c321e7 > .ugb-inner-block > .ugb-block-content > .ugb-columns__item{grid-template-columns:0.66fr 1.34fr !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-columns__item ugb-8c321e7-content-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-column ugb-column ugb-adbf92b ugb-column--design-plain ugb-main-block\"><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-column__item ugb-adbf92b-column-wrapper\"><div class=\"ugb-column__content-wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/gps-2798348_1280-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/gps-2798348_1280-1-682x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1401\" style=\"width:206px;height:312px\" width=\"206\" height=\"312\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-column ugb-column ugb-e52d273 ugb-column--design-plain ugb-main-block\"><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-column__item ugb-e52d273-column-wrapper\"><div class=\"ugb-column__content-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-icon-list ugb-icon-list ugb-faf89e0 ugb-icon-list--v2 ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-faf89e0 li::before{background-image:url('data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxOTAgMTkwIj48cG9seWdvbiBwb2ludHM9IjE3My44LDI4LjQgNjAuNCwxNDEuOCAxNS43LDk3LjIgNS4xLDEwNy44IDYwLjQsMTYzIDE4NC40LDM5IDE3My44LDI4LjQiLz48L3N2Zz4=')}.ugb-faf89e0.ugb-icon-list ul{columns:1}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><ul><li>GPS<\/li><li>Sinais de Wi-Fi<\/li><li>Sinais de Bluetooth-LE<\/li><li>Sinais de telefone<\/li><li>Atividade (correndo, andando, dirigindo)<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>A precis\u00e3o espacial\/temporal \u00e9 muito alta! Sendo poss\u00edvel localizar com precis\u00e3o de poucos metros, mesmo em locais fechados.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Como os dados s\u00e3o processados?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Recebemos dados j\u00e1 anonimizados e agregados, em uma resolu\u00e7\u00e3o de no m\u00e1ximo cerca de centenas de metros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"577\" height=\"534\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12.png\" alt=\"H3 grid (more at https:\/\/eng.uber.com\/h3\/)\" class=\"wp-image-1402\" title=\"H3 grid (more at https:\/\/eng.uber.com\/h3\/)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12.png 577w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12-300x278.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12-332x307.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 577px) 100vw, 577px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Isolamento Social<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Em qual H3 mora? No hex\u00e1gono onde a pessoa passou as \u00faltima noites<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00cdndice de Isolamento: Das pessoas que moram em um H3, mede percentual de pessoas que saiu desse H3 durante o dia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cidades e Estados s\u00e3o agregados de H3 n\u00edvel 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mobilidade<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Medimos a mobilidade entre locais (geralmente trabalhamos apenas com mobilidade entre cidades) como contagens de viagens (<em>trips<\/em>). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cada usu\u00e1rio registra uma sequ\u00eancia de pontos no espa\u00e7o, que depende da frequ\u00eancia de coleta do app (que varia bastante!). N\u00f3s n\u00e3o recebemos trajetos completos, apenas origem e destino das v\u00e1rias viagens por usu\u00e1rios (sem identifica\u00e7\u00e3o de que foi aquele usu\u00e1rio que fez aquela viagem).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Agregamos milh\u00f5es de pares de origem vs destinos para calcular fluxos entre cidades.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>Malhas H3 (<a href=\"https:\/\/h3geo.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/h3geo.org\/<\/a>) s\u00e3o usadas na indexa\u00e7\u00e3o espacial dos dados. Nos estudos usamos dados nos seguintes formatos:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-black-color has-white-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-block-list\">\n<li>Isolamento Social (Quantas pessoas sa\u00edram de casa no dia?)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mobilidade entre locais (Quantas pessoas foram de A para B no dia?)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Essas medidas podem ser analisadas em diferentes n\u00edveis:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cidades<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bairros (Hex\u00e1gonos de n\u00edvel 8, com aprox. 460 metros de largura)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Estados, Micro-regi\u00f5es, Regi\u00f5es<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image18-1-280x300-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image18-1-280x300-1-edited-1.png\" alt=\"Exemplo de amostragem em malha H3 (https:\/\/eng.uber.com\/h3\/)\" class=\"wp-image-1410\" style=\"width:395px;height:245px\" width=\"395\" height=\"245\" title=\"Exemplo de amostragem em malha H3 (https:\/\/eng.uber.com\/h3\/)\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-fde4541 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-fde4541 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"iso_index\">Medidas de Isolamento Social  <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Painel com medidas de isolamento social por munic\u00edpio para todos os estados do Brasil. Clique no mapa para acessar os dados!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-very-dark-gray-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<p>A an\u00e1lise de isolamento social comparativa visa mostrar, dia a dia, como est\u00e1 a mobilidade social em cada cidade do pa\u00eds. O \u00edndice indica o percentual de pessoas que n\u00e3o sa\u00edram de casa no dia. Apresentamos 2 gr\u00e1ficos:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u00cdndice de isolamento social dia a dia e a m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel semanal dos \u00edndices.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Varia\u00e7\u00e3o relativa do \u00edndice de isolamento social comparando com <strong>antes da pandemia<\/strong>: indica se a cidade est\u00e1 ou n\u00e3o se isolando socialmente em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao normal da cidade por dia da semana (relativo a Fevereiro de 2020).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Esta an\u00e1lise foi realizada com dados de mobilidade social obtidas de forma anonimizada pela empresa colaboradora In Loco. \u00c9 importante ressaltar que estes dados n\u00e3o representam uma totalidade da popula\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br \/><em>(Clique no estado e ver\u00e1 um mapa com uma an\u00e1lise do isolamento dos munic\u00edpios do estado)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<p class=\"has-text-color\" style=\"color:#2a2e89\">Isolamento Social <\/p>\n\n\n\n <!-- start Fla-shop.com HTML5 Map --> <div class='freeHtmlMapbottom htmlMapResponsive' style='max-width:1200px; width: 100%'> <div id='map-container-0' class='freeHtmlMapContainer' data-map-variable='map0'><\/div> <link href='https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/plugins\/html5-maps\/static\/css\/map.css' rel='stylesheet'> <style> body .fm-tooltip { color: #000000; font-size: 20px; } <\/style> <script src='\/\/cdn.html5maps.com\/3d_party\/raphael.min.js'><\/script> <script src='https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/index.php?freemap_js_data=true&map_id=0&r=75179'><\/script> <script src='\/\/cdn.html5maps.com\/libs\/locator\/2.4.0\/brazil\/map.js'><\/script> <script> var map0 = new FlaMap(map_cfg); map0.drawOnDomReady('map-container-0'); map0.on('click', function(ev, sid, map) { jQuery('#freeHtmlMapStateInfo0').html(''); var link = map.mapConfig.map_data[sid]['link']; if (link == '#info') { var id = map.mapConfig.map_data[sid]['id']; jQuery('#freeHtmlMapStateInfo0').html('Loading...'); jQuery.ajax({ type: 'POST', url: 'https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/index.php?freemap_get_state_info='+id+'&map_id=0', success: function(data, textStatus, jqXHR){ jQuery('#freeHtmlMapStateInfo0').html(data); }, dataType: 'text' }); } }); <\/script> <div id='freeHtmlMapStateInfo0' class='freeHtmlMapStateInfo'><\/div> <\/div> <div style='clear: both'><\/div> <!-- end HTML5 Map --> \n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/iso_index\/plots\/isol_SAOPAULO_SP.png\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Exemplo de Isolamento Social Comparativo: S\u00e3o Paulo &#8211; SP.<\/strong> As linhas indicam as m\u00e9dias m\u00f3veis dos dados di\u00e1rios.<br \/><em>Painel superior:<\/em> varia\u00e7\u00e3o do \u00edndice de isolamento social em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a um per\u00edodo de antes da pandemia (Fev 2020). <br \/><em>Painel inferior:<\/em> valor percentual de pessoas que ficaram em casa no dia na cidade, com base na amostra.<br \/><br \/><br \/>Vejam como o isolamento social teve um salto no in\u00edcio das medidas de combate \u00e0 COVID19, mas que depois, gradativamente, a popula\u00e7\u00e3o foi relaxando e atingindo um patamar de isolamento de cerca de 40%, que ainda \u00e9 maior que o usual de mobilidade em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 antes da pandemia, mas bem menor que o que j\u00e1 tivemos durante a pandemia. Em Fevereiro 2021 o distanciamento social caiu ao n\u00edvel mais baixo desde o in\u00edcio das medidas, ficando equivalente ao per\u00edodo de refer\u00eancia. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-978b4de ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-978b4de hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"mobility\"> An\u00e1lises de Mobilidade <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Al\u00e9m do isolamento social, temos feito diversas an\u00e1lises considerando mobilidade entre munic\u00edpios, vejam alguns videos. Novamente ressaltamos que as an\u00e1lises s\u00e3o realizadas com dados de mobilidade obtidas de forma anonimizada pela empresa colaboradora In Loco e que estes dados n\u00e3o representam uma totalidade da popula\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_BRA_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o de viagens entre munic\u00edpios no Brasil<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_SP_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Observe como h\u00e1 claras<strong> flutua\u00e7\u00f5es de intensidade<\/strong> da mobilidade alinhados com per\u00edodos de decretos de restri\u00e7\u00e3o de circula\u00e7\u00e3o de pessoas.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_Nordeste_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zoom Nordeste<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_NordesteLitoral_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zoom Litoral Nordeste<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_Centro-Sudeste_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zoom Centro Sudeste<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_Sul-Sudeste_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zoom Sudeste &#8211; Sul<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Zoom_RMSP_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o de viagens entre munic\u00edpios incluindo isolamento social<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Esse tipo de an\u00e1lise permite visualizar os movimentos pendulares em grandes cidades, e como estes foram afetados (ou n\u00e3o!) por medidas de restri\u00e7\u00e3o de mobilidade.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Zoom_RMRJ_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Zoom_RMCTBA_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Zoom_RMGO_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-a86e15c ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-a86e15c hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"risk_mobility\"> An\u00e1lise de risco baseado em mobilidade &#8211; Espalhamento no in\u00edcio da pandemia <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Modeling future spread of infections via mobile geolocation data and population dynamics. An application to COVID-19 in Brazil<\/strong> &#8211; <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0235732\" target=\"_blank\">Plos One<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trabalho inaugural do nosso grupo mostrando o potencial espalhamento da COVID-19 nos estados de S\u00e3o Paulo e Rio e Janeiro (antes do espalhamento ter ocorrido!). PRE-PRINT (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.04.07.20056739v1\" target=\"_blank\">medrxiv<\/a>) PUBLICA\u00c7\u00c3O (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0235732\" target=\"_blank\">Plos One<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"681\" height=\"86\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1604\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn.png 681w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn-300x38.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn-332x42.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 681px) 100vw, 681px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Spreading model on the network. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Como o coronav\u00edrus pode se espalhar em S\u00e3o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro?\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/KwJbBaURZaE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">V\u00eddeo de divulga\u00e7\u00e3o da pesquisa<br \/> Muito obrigado LM|<a href=\"https:\/\/www.assessoriaestatistica.com.br\">Assessoria Estat\u00edstica<\/a> pelo esfor\u00e7o de montar esse material!<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Aviso<\/strong>: Este model n\u00e3o pretende mostrar a quantidade exata de pessoas infectadas em cada dia, mas sim se prop\u00f5e a capturar o padr\u00e3o de espalhamento, que \u00e9 usado para gerar as medidas de risco. Veja o artigo completo no <a href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0235732\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">link<\/a> (em ingl\u00eas apenas). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video height=\"1500\" style=\"aspect-ratio: 3000 \/ 1500;\" width=\"3000\" controls src=\"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/SP_model_r04_s1-1.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Spatial-temporal infection model simulation assuming an infection rate of 0.4 and 1 infected person on the 1st of March in the city of S\u00e3o Paulo. More details in the P<a href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0235732\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">LOS-ONE paper.<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-1024x624.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-904\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-1024x624.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-768x468.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-700x426.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-332x202.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-268x164.png 268w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14.png 1422w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Rank of infection (filled circles, left axis)  and number of confirmed COVID19  cases (filled triangles, right axis) for S\u00e3o Paulo state on the 1st of May 2020. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video height=\"1500\" style=\"aspect-ratio: 3000 \/ 1500;\" width=\"3000\" controls src=\"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/RJ_model_r04_s1-1.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Spatial-temporal infection model simulation assuming an infection rate of 0.4 and 1 infected person on the 1st of March in the city of Rio de Janeiro. More details in the <a href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0235732\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PLOS-ONE paper.<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-1024x624.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-905\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-1024x624.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-768x468.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-700x426.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-332x202.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-268x164.png 268w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15.png 1422w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Rank of infection (filled circles, left axis) and number of confirmed COVID19 cases (filled triangles, right axis) for Rio de Janeiro state on the 1st of May 2020.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-c03a48d ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-c03a48d hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"social_isol\"> O isolamento social e a din\u00e2mica da pandemia <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Neste estudo, publicado na revista Patterns (Cell Press), discutimos rela\u00e7\u00f5es entre dados de isolamento social e dados da din\u00e2mica epidemiol\u00f3gica da COVID-19. O resultado \u00e9 um panorama de como as implementa\u00e7\u00f5es de restri\u00e7\u00f5es de mobilidade influenciaram a primeira onda em diversas cidades do Brasil. &#8220;A snapshot of a pandemic: The interplay between social isolation and COVID-19 dynamics in Brazil&#8221; (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.patter.2021.100349\" target=\"_blank\">DOI<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"771\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-771x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1523\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-771x1024.jpg 771w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-226x300.jpg 226w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-768x1021.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1156x1536.jpg 1156w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1541x2048.jpg 1541w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-700x930.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-332x441.jpg 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-scaled.jpg 1926w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 771px) 100vw, 771px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The dispersion between the mean relative isolation index of 1 week ago and the 7-day moving average of incidence for 32 cities during the upward phase. Colors refer to the stage. The line is a LOESS . The value of S is the skewness coefficient of the normalized LOESS curve.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-3da39fe ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-3da39fe hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"genomic\"> Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o da COVID19 do ponto de vista de mobilidade e gen\u00f4mica <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Estudo do espalhamento da COVID19 no Brazil em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 gen\u00f4mica do SARS-CoV-2. Esfor\u00e7o conjunto do <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.caddecentre.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">CADDE<\/a> e colaboradores gerando o estudo &#8220;Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil&#8221; (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.06.11.20128249v2\" target=\"_blank\">MEDRXIV<\/a> , <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/07\/22\/science.abd2161\" target=\"_blank\">DOI<\/a>),  publica\u00e7\u00e3o na <a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/07\/22\/science.abd2161\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Science<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/07\/22\/science.abd2161\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"833\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-1024x833.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-853\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-1024x833.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-300x244.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-768x625.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-1536x1250.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-2048x1667.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-700x570.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-332x270.jpg 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(A) Spatiotemporal reconstruction of the spread of Brazilian SARS-CoV-2 clusters containing 3 or more sequences during the first phase (left) and the second epidemic phase (right). Circles represent nodes of the MCC phylogeny and are coloured according to their inferred time of occurrence. (B) Estimated number of within state (or within a given federal unit) and between-state (or between federal units) virus migrations over time. (C) Average distance travelled by an air passenger per day in Brazil<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-add34d1 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-add34d1 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"highways\"> Fatores de espalhamento regional <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Estudo sobre diversos fatores que potencialmente influenciaram no espalhamento da COVID-19 pelo pa\u00eds. Destaque para as rodovias, a disponibilidade de leitos (o efeito &#8220;bumerangue&#8221;) e um fator bem curioso: a incid\u00eancia pr\u00e9via de dengue no local. Estudo realizado em parceria com Miguel Nicolelis (Cons\u00f3rsio Nordeste\/Duke) e colaboradores. O<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.09.19.20197749v1.full.pdf\" target=\"_blank\"> preprint<\/a> foi dividido em dois artigos, um considerando a parte de espalhamento regional por mobilidade, publicado na <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-021-92263-3\" target=\"_blank\">Nature Scientific Reports<\/a>, e o outro, com a parte da an\u00e1lise da dengue, foi fortemente modificada e incrementada e est\u00e1 em revis\u00e3o em outra revista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.09.19.20197749v1.full.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"946\" height=\"942\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1027\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46.png 946w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-768x765.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-700x697.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-332x331.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-268x268.png 268w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 946px) 100vw, 946px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Maps of Brazil representing the routes of the main<br \/>federal highways<\/strong>, as well as the evolution of the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases on three dates (April 1st, June 1st, and August 1st), and the distribution of COVID-19 deaths on August 1st (last column).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.09.19.20197749v1.full.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"738\" height=\"737\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02.png 738w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-700x699.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-332x332.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-432x432.png 432w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-268x268.png 268w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 738px) 100vw, 738px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Quantification of the Brazilian \u201cboomerang effect\u201d:<\/strong><br \/>Representation of all \u201cboomerangs\u201d that occurred around major Brazilian state capitals and mid-size cities across the whole country. In this map, arcs represent the flow of people from the interior towards the capital. The arc color code represents the number of interior cities that sent severely ill patients to be admitted in hospitals in a capital or mid-size town; red being the highest number of locations, orange and yellow next, while a smaller number of locations are represented in light blue. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"995\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-1024x995.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1073\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-1024x995.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-300x291.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-768x746.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-700x680.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-332x323.jpg 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized.jpg 1259w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><br \/><strong>Dengue versus COVID: <\/strong>(A) Bars represent the day the first COVID-19 case (blue bars) was officially reported in each state (using S\u00e3o Paulo\u2019s first case on February 26<sup>th<\/sup> , 2020 as the 0 reference), the number of days estimated by a mathematical model for each state to reach 500 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (yellow bars), and the days in which each of Brazilian states actually reach the mark of 500 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (orange bars). Notice how much longer it took for MT, BA, SC, SP, GO, MS, PR, MG to reach the 500\/100,000 milestone. (B) Comparison of the evolution of COVID-19 (yellow line), dengue 2019 and dengue 2020 new cases per epidemiological week. (C, D, and E) Comparison between the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases (C), and incidence (C) until June 30<sup>th<\/sup> , 2020, and dengue fever cases and incidence in Brazil (D and D\u2019) until May 31<sup>st<\/sup>, 2020, and for dengue cases and incidence (E and E\u2019) summing data from 2019 and until May 31<sup>st<\/sup>, 2020.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-9c3fac4 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-9c3fac4 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"robot\"> Robot Dance: controle \u00f3timo da pandemia<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Estudo sobre estrat\u00e9gia de controle \u00f3timo de distanciamento social e compartilhamento de leitos baseado em uma rede complexa (usando rede de mobilidade). Colabora\u00e7\u00e3o com pesquisadores do CEPID-CeMEAI  (Euro J. Comp. Optimization). <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.optimization-online.org\/DB_HTML\/2020\/10\/8054.html\" target=\"_blank\">Preprint<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2192440622000016?v=s5\" target=\"_blank\">DOI<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.optimization-online.org\/DB_HTML\/2020\/10\/8054.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"495\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-1024x495.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1054\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-1024x495.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-300x145.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-768x372.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-1536x743.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-700x339.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-332x161.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12.png 1571w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Robot dance in action<\/strong>: The left map zooms in the connections between the SP city and the SW district. The link SP-SW is critical for the network, but preventing commuting eliminating the link) is not the solution. The middle graph shows that cutting the circulation in the link has practically no effect on the situation in SW\/SP. By contrast, as shown in the bottom graph, allowing for commuting between the nodes (keeping the link) while implementing a pool of ICU beds improves significantly the overall state for SW without affecting much the situation in SP.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-11d4c36 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-11d4c36 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"attackrate\"> Attack rate em Manaus comparado com S\u00e3o Paulo <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Colabora\u00e7\u00e3o com o grupo <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.caddecentre.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">CADDE<\/a>, e financiamento do <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.todospelasaude.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">Itau &#8211; Todos pela Sa\u00fade<\/a>, o trabalho discute a diferen\u00e7a entre controlar ou n\u00e3o epidemia. Neste caso, Manaus \u00e9 um exemplo de baixo controle da pandemia e S\u00e3o Paulo de controle maior. Os efeitos nas taxas de cont\u00e1gio s\u00e3o impressionantes! Mais detalhes no artigo &#8220;Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic&#8221;, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/12\/07\/science.abe9728\" target=\"_blank\">Science<\/a>, 2020. Veja tamb\u00e9m o coment\u00e1rio no <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(21)00183-5\/fulltext\" target=\"_blank\">Lancet<\/a>, 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/12\/07\/science.abe9728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"893\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-893x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1303\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-893x1024.png 893w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-262x300.png 262w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-768x880.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-700x802.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-332x381.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.png 1285w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 893px) 100vw, 893px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence estimates in Manaus (A) and S\u00e3o Paulo (C) with a range of corrections. Error bars are 95% confidence intervals. Grey bars are standardized daily mortality using confirmed COVID-19 deaths from the SIVEP-Gripe (<a href=\"https:\/\/covid.saude.gov.br\/\">https:\/\/covid.saude.gov.br\/<\/a>) notification system and standardized by the direct method using the total projected Brazilian population for 2020 as reference. Black lines are rescaled cumulative deaths, such that the maximum is set to the maximum seroprevalence estimate for each city.&nbsp;<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-3fcef55 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-3fcef55 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"p1\"> Caracteriza\u00e7\u00e3o e espalhamento da linhagem P1 de Manaus\n <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Estudo em parceria com o cons\u00f3rcio CADDE sobre a gen\u00f4mica da variante P1. O principal ponto da colabora\u00e7\u00e3o foi na an\u00e1lise do potencial espalhamento da variante pelo Brasil a fora. <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2021.02.26.21252554v1\" target=\"_blank\">Pre-print<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2021\/04\/13\/science.abh2644\" target=\"_blank\">Science<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1010\" height=\"899\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50.png 1010w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50-300x267.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50-768x684.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50-700x623.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50-332x296.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1010px) 100vw, 1010px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Viagens registradas no m\u00eas de Novembro de Manaus para outras cidades do pa\u00eds, com base em dados georreferenciamento de celulares da InLoco.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-1c601db ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-1c601db hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"vulnerability\"> Vulnerabilidades Sociais e Raciais em SP <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Trabalho investigando o impacto de desigualdades sociais e de ra\u00e7a na mortalidade por COVID-19 considerando efeitos de dificuldade de realizar o isolamento social, acesso a servi\u00e7os de sa\u00fade e outros fatores. <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.12.09.20246207v2\" target=\"_blank\">MEDRXIV<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/gh.bmj.com\/content\/6\/4\/e004959\" target=\"_blank\">BMJ Global Health<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"688\" height=\"621\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.resized.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1315\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.resized.png 688w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.resized-300x271.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.resized-332x300.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 688px) 100vw, 688px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Relative risk of SARI hospitalisation for the GMSP (A). Seven-day moving average of daily median levels in social distancing by race (B) and income (C). Difference in daily social isolation by race (D) and income groups (E) after the introduction of NPI. In Panels (B) and (C), solid lines show population-weighted median isolation levels and shaded areas show population-weighted interquartile range (25%-75%). Dashed vertical lines indicate the dates of NPIs that closed schools (March 13 state NPI) and non-essential activities (March 18 and 22, municipal and state NPIs respectively).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"seismic\"> Isolamento social e vibra\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00edsmicas <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Estudo sobre as rela\u00e7\u00f5es entre o distanciamento social e a redu\u00e7\u00e3o das vibra\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00edsmica no Rio de Janeiro. Artigo em colabora\u00e7\u00e3o com IAG-USP e Observat\u00f3rio Nacional, em revis\u00e3o na <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/journal\/19448007\" target=\"_blank\">Geophys.&nbsp;Res.&nbsp;Lett.<\/a>: &#8220;Using Seismic Noise Levels to Monitor Social Isolation: An Example from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil&#8221; <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/2020gl088748r_merged_pdf\/\" target=\"_blank\">(pre-print<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1029\/2020GL088748\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">published<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/2020gl088748r_merged_pdf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"416\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-1024x416.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-852\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-1024x416.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-300x122.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-768x312.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-1536x624.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-2048x832.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-700x285.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-332x135.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Comparison of seismic noise level (blue and dark blue lines, in nm\/s, left scale) with the<br \/>&#8220;In Loco&#8221; Social Distancing Index (Ik, red line, fraction of the population staying at home). <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"scale_free\"> Din\u00e2mica livre de escala (fractal) da COVID-19 <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Nesta colabora\u00e7\u00e3o liderada por pesquisadores F\u00edsica (USP), estudamos o comportamento fractal da COVID-19 na cidade de S\u00e3o Caetano, resultando em um modelo que generaliza os cl\u00e1ssicos modelos SIR. O artigo foi publicado na revista Applied Mathematical Modelling (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2021.09.10.21263332v1.full.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Medrxiv<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.apm.2023.03.039\" target=\"_blank\">DOI<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"400\" height=\"243\" class=\"wp-image-1532\" style=\"width: 400px;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Screenshot-from-2021-09-16-16-26-11.png\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Screenshot-from-2021-09-16-16-26-11.png 1215w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Screenshot-from-2021-09-16-16-26-11-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Screenshot-from-2021-09-16-16-26-11-1024x621.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Screenshot-from-2021-09-16-16-26-11-768x466.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Screenshot-from-2021-09-16-16-26-11-700x425.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Screenshot-from-2021-09-16-16-26-11-332x201.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Screenshot-from-2021-09-16-16-26-11-268x164.png 268w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1006\" height=\"497\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1531\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation.png 1006w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-300x148.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-768x379.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-700x346.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-332x164.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1006px) 100vw, 1006px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Social Isolation Metrics for the city of S\u00e3o Caetano do Sul indicating the percentage of people that stayed home during the respective day. Two indexes are shown: in blue, the index from the Inloco company and in green the official index from the state government of S\u00e3o Paulo. The daily index is shown in light colours and the seven-day moving average is shown in dark colours, for each source. Horizontal bars indicate the average social isolation index, using the official government dataset, of the first and second waves. The figure shows how adherence to social distancing policies was drastically reduced in the second wave compared to the first wave<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"agradecimentos\"> Colaboradores, parecerias e agradecimentos &#8211; Thanks! <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Equipe, Colaboradores e Entidades Parceiras:<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Colegas e alunos do <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/map\/\" target=\"_blank\">Departamento de Matem\u00e1tica Aplicada do IME-USP<\/a>: S\u00e9rgio Oliva, Cl\u00e1udia Peixoto, Renato Vicente, Diego Marcondes (doutorando), Milena Oliveira (mestranda).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.inloco.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">InLoco<\/a>, em especial o Afonso Delgado. Boa parte das pesquisas realizadas s\u00e3o essencialmente baseadas em dados de mobilidade fornecidos pela empresa, que tem sido uma parceira de primeira desde 2018, em estudos relacionados a dissimina\u00e7\u00e3o de dengue no pa\u00eds.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.saopaulo.sp.gov.br\/coronavirus\/\" target=\"_blank\">Governo de Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo<\/a>, via Patr\u00edcia Ellen e assessores (especialmente a B\u00e1rbara R\u00e9gis) e Dimas Covas (diretor do Instituto Butantan), na confian\u00e7a e parceria dentro do centro de crise do estado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.comitecientifico-ne.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">Cons\u00f3rcio Nordeste<\/a>, via Rafael Raimundo (UFPB) e Miguel Nicolelis (Duke).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/covid19br.github.io\/\" target=\"_blank\">Observat\u00f3rio-COVID19-BR <\/a>, em particular via Renato Coutinho (UFABC), Roberto Kraenkel (IFT-UNESP) e Paulo Prado (USP).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.caddecentre.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">CADDE<\/a>, especialmente Ester Sabino (USP), Nuno Faria (Oxford\/Imperial), e Rafael Pereira (IPEA), al\u00e9m dos alunos e outros pesquisadores envolvidos.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.covidradar.org.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">COVID-RADAR<\/a>, em particular o Sami Yamouni (Serasa) e Fabr\u00edcio Vasselai (Michigan), al\u00e9m de outros pesquisadores envolvidos na iniciativa.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.cemeai.icmc.usp.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">CEPID-CeMEAI<\/a>, em particular os pesquisadores Paulo Silva e Silva (UNICAMP), Luis Nonato (ICMC), Claudia Sagastiz\u00e1bal (UNICAMP) e Tiago Pereira (ICMC) na iniciativa <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.unicamp.br\/~pjssilva\/pdfs\/papers\/robot-dance.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">RobotDance<\/a> e outros.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.todospelasaude.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">Itau &#8211; Todos pela Sa\u00fade<\/a>, em particular nos projetos de revis\u00e3o de Mortalidade (Paulo Lotufo &#8211; FM-USP) e no projeto de an\u00e1lise de imunidade de rebanho no Amazonas (Ester Sabino IMT-USP e CADDE).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Diversos professores e pesquisadores da USP, muitos que participaram de discuss\u00f5es iniciais, incluindo o reitor Vahan Agopyan, o pr\u00f3-reitor Carlos Carlotti e o Diretor do <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">IME<\/a>, Junior Barrera, por ajudar a estreitar a parceria com o governo do estado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Lorena Barberia (USP e <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redepesquisasolidaria.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">Rede Pesquisa Solid\u00e1ria<\/a>) e colaborades.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.in.tum.de\/en\/caps\/staff\/martin-schreiber\/\" target=\"_blank\">Martin Schreiber (TU Munich)<\/a> &#8211; Long-time collaborator, helped out on the parallelization of geocoding for mobility data, allowing coupled mobility analysis of the whole country.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mariana Pereira de Melo (Escola de Engenharia de Lorena &#8211; USP) e Cl\u00e1udia Pio (UNESP)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Helder Nakaya (FCF-USP)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/covidbr.github.io\/pub\/1\" target=\"_blank\">S\u00edlvio Ferreira (UFV)<\/a> e alunos <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/covid19br.wcota.me\/\" target=\"_blank\">Wesley Cota <\/a>e Guilherme Costa<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Marcelo Assump\u00e7\u00e3o (IAG-USP) e colegas no divertido cruzamento de isolamento com vibra\u00e7\u00e3o s\u00edsmica.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Airton Deppman (F\u00edsica-USP) e colegas da f\u00edsica na an\u00e1lise &#8220;fractal&#8221; da covid-19.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Raquel Rolnik (FAU-USP) e colaboradores<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>LM|<a href=\"https:\/\/www.assessoriaestatistica.com.br\/\">Assessoria Estat\u00edstica<\/a> e Laryssa Costa<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>V\u00e1rios outros pesquisadores que temos colaborado nessa empreitada da COVID-19!<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/path754.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/path754.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1395\" style=\"width:130px;height:51px\" width=\"130\" height=\"51\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mapabrasileirodacovid.inloco.com.br\/pt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Logo-In-Loco2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-942\" style=\"width:112px;height:67px\" width=\"112\" height=\"67\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Logo-In-Loco2.png 500w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Logo-In-Loco2-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Logo-In-Loco2-332x199.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 112px) 100vw, 112px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.saopaulo.sp.gov.br\/coronavirus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1042\" style=\"width:103px;height:68px\" width=\"103\" height=\"68\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-1536x1025.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-700x467.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-332x221.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover.png 1772w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 103px) 100vw, 103px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coronavirus.butantan.gov.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/280b714d75a8a5b4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1065\" style=\"width:93px;height:93px\" width=\"93\" height=\"93\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/280b714d75a8a5b4.png 200w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/280b714d75a8a5b4-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 93px) 100vw, 93px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.comitecientifico-ne.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1051\" style=\"width:112px;height:71px\" width=\"112\" height=\"71\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop.jpg 816w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop-300x192.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop-768x490.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop-700x447.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop-332x212.jpg 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 112px) 100vw, 112px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/covid19br.github.io\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-1024x259.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1045\" style=\"width:152px;height:38px\" width=\"152\" height=\"38\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-1024x259.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-300x76.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-768x194.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-1536x389.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-2048x519.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-700x177.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-332x84.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 152px) 100vw, 152px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.caddecentre.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1046\" style=\"width:145px;height:37px\" width=\"145\" height=\"37\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde.png 859w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde-300x76.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde-768x196.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde-700x178.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde-332x85.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 145px) 100vw, 145px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covidradar.org.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-1024x299.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1047\" style=\"width:154px;height:45px\" width=\"154\" height=\"45\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-1024x299.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-300x88.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-768x224.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-1536x448.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-2048x598.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-700x204.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-332x97.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 154px) 100vw, 154px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cemeai.icmc.usp.br\/covid19\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/logo.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1048\" style=\"width:160px;height:43px\" width=\"160\" height=\"43\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.todospelasaude.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/doacoes-todos-pela-saude-itau-coronas.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1064\" style=\"width:152px;height:48px\" width=\"152\" height=\"48\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/doacoes-todos-pela-saude-itau-coronas.jpg 575w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/doacoes-todos-pela-saude-itau-coronas-300x95.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/doacoes-todos-pela-saude-itau-coronas-332x105.jpg 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 152px) 100vw, 152px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.assessoriaestatistica.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1050\" style=\"width:95px;height:95px\" width=\"95\" height=\"95\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download.jpeg 225w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download-150x150.jpeg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 95px) 100vw, 95px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ag\u00eancias Financiadoras:<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/bv.fapesp.br\/pt\/pesquisador\/673594\/pedro-da-silva-peixoto\/\" target=\"_blank\">FAPESP<\/a> Jovem Pesquisador <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/bv.fapesp.br\/pt\/auxilios\/95524\/metodos-numericos-para-a-nova-geracao-de-modelos-de-previsao-de-tempo-e-clima\/\" target=\"_blank\">16\/18445-7<\/a> &#8211; e o servidor Ybytu<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CNPq (Bolsa Produtividade)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"365\" height=\"138\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/download.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-889\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/download.png 365w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/download-300x113.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/download-332x126.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 365px) 100vw, 365px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1041\" style=\"width:169px;height:126px\" width=\"169\" height=\"126\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico.png 990w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico-768x577.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico-700x526.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico-332x250.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 169px) 100vw, 169px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Desde o in\u00edcio da pandemia, atuamos no desenvolvimento de m\u00e9todos num\u00e9ricos e an\u00e1lises estat\u00edsticas que pudessem auxiliar o entendimento e controle da pandemia. Boa parte dos estudos dizem respeito a an\u00e1lises obtidas a partir de dados de mobilidade por geolocaliza\u00e7\u00e3o de celulares em conjunto com modelos matem\u00e1ticos e estat\u00edsticos para compreens\u00e3o e a\u00e7\u00e3o na pandemia. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-742","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"featured_image_urls_v2":{"full":"","thumbnail":"","medium":"","medium_large":"","large":"","1536x1536":"","2048x2048":""},"post_excerpt_stackable_v2":"<p>Desde o in\u00edcio da pandemia, atuamos no desenvolvimento de m\u00e9todos num\u00e9ricos e an\u00e1lises estat\u00edsticas que pudessem auxiliar o entendimento e controle da pandemia. Boa parte dos estudos dizem respeito a an\u00e1lises obtidas a partir de dados de mobilidade por geolocaliza\u00e7\u00e3o de celulares em conjunto com modelos matem\u00e1ticos e estat\u00edsticos para compreens\u00e3o e a\u00e7\u00e3o na pandemia. Tratam-se de trabalhos envolvendo uma extensa rede de colaboradores. Apresenta\u00e7\u00e3o : 16&#215;9, 3&#215;4 Dados de Mobilidade Sobre os dados de georreferenciamento de celulares (inloco) \u00cdndice de isolamento social para milhares de cidades brasileiras (Mar\u00e7o-2020 a Mar\u00e7o-2021) An\u00e1lises de mobilidade entre cidades do Brasil obtidos com&hellip;<\/p>\n","category_list_v2":"","author_info_v2":{"name":"Pedro","url":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/author\/pedrosp\/"},"comments_num_v2":"0 comments","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/742\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}