{"id":1464,"date":"2020-04-18T13:20:51","date_gmt":"2020-04-18T13:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/?page_id=1464"},"modified":"2023-09-13T18:06:41","modified_gmt":"2023-09-13T18:06:41","slug":"covid-19","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-columns ugb-columns ugb-320c3a0 ugb-columns--design-plain ugb-columns--columns-2 ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-320c3a0 > .ugb-inner-block > .ugb-block-content > .ugb-columns__item{grid-template-columns:1.40fr 0.60fr !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-columns__item ugb-320c3a0-content-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-column ugb-column ugb-5442a52 ugb-column--design-plain ugb-main-block\"><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-column__item ugb-5442a52-column-wrapper\"><div class=\"ugb-column__content-wrapper\">\n<p>Since the beginning of the pandemic, we worked on the development of numerical methods and statistical analysis that could help the understanding and control of the pandemic. Most studies refer to analyses obtained from mobile mobility data, along with mathematical and statistical models. The studies involve a large team and a wide collaboration network <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#agradecimentos\">(collaborators)<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-column ugb-column ugb-25cdd80 ugb-column--design-plain ugb-main-block\"><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-column__item ugb-25cdd80-column-wrapper\"><div class=\"ugb-column__content-wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/5f47ee13ae88e75d6740ab26_127_1582328886a.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/5f47ee13ae88e75d6740ab26_127_1582328886a.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1429\" style=\"width:213px;height:177px\" width=\"213\" height=\"177\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-51569f7 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-51569f7 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4> Mobility data <\/h4> \n<ul>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#mobility_data\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  About georeferenced mobile mobility data (inloco)\n<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#mobility_data\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19\/#iso_index\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">   Social Isolation index for thousands of Brazilian cities  (March-2020 to March-2021)  <\/a> <\/li>\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#mobility\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nMobility analyses between Brazilian cities <\/a> <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<h4> Scientific Results <\/h4> \n<ul>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#risk_mobility\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nModeling future spread of infections via mobile geolocation data and population dynamics (Plos-ONE)<\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#social_isol\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nSocial distancing and epidemic dynamics (Cell Patterns)<\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#genomic\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\n Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil (Science) <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#highways\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Super-spreader cities, highways, and intensive care availability (Scientific Reports, Nature Portfolio) <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#robot\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \n A mathematical optimization platform for intervention against Covid-19 in a complex network- Robot Dance  (Euro J. Comp. Optimiz.) \n <\/a> <\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#attackrate\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nThree-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic (Science e Lancet)\n <\/a> <\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#p1\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nGenomics and epidemiology of the P.1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil (Science)\n <\/a> <\/li>\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#vulnerability\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">  \nHigher risk of death from COVID-19 in low-income and non-White populations of S\u00e3o Paulo (BMJ &#8211; Global Health)\n <\/a> <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#seismic\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> \nUsing Seismic Noise Levels to Monitor Social Isolation (Geophys. Res. Lett.) <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#scale_free\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> \nScale-free (fractal) dynamics of Covid-19  (Applied Mathematical Modelling) <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h4> Team, partners, collaborators and acknowledgments <\/h4> \n<ul>\n<li> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid-19\/#agradecimentos\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> To study something with this degree of complexity, it is essential to work in partnerships. <\/a> \n <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-9e7dbba ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-9e7dbba hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"mobility_data\">Mobility Data <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Most of our studies used data from a company called <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/mapabrasileirodacovid.inloco.com.br\/pt\/\" target=\"_blank\">Inloco<\/a>, which changed its name to <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.incognia.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Incognia <\/a>in 2021. The company provides digital intelligence services based on mobile geolocation data. The company has a great concern for data safety and privacy (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.incognia.com\/pt\/politicas\/covid\" target=\"_blank\">politica de privacidade<\/a>) and opened aggregated and anonymous data only for research during the pandemic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How are data collected?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>During 2020, the inloco Software Development Kit &#8211; SDK was installed in over 1 fourth of the Brazilian population.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-columns ugb-columns ugb-8c321e7 ugb-columns--design-plain ugb-columns--columns-2 ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-8c321e7 > .ugb-inner-block > .ugb-block-content > .ugb-columns__item{grid-template-columns:0.66fr 1.34fr !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-columns__item ugb-8c321e7-content-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-column ugb-column ugb-adbf92b ugb-column--design-plain ugb-main-block\"><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-column__item ugb-adbf92b-column-wrapper\"><div class=\"ugb-column__content-wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/gps-2798348_1280-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/gps-2798348_1280-1-682x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1401\" style=\"width:206px;height:312px\" width=\"206\" height=\"312\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-column ugb-column ugb-e52d273 ugb-column--design-plain ugb-main-block\"><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><div class=\"ugb-column__item ugb-e52d273-column-wrapper\"><div class=\"ugb-column__content-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-icon-list ugb-icon-list ugb-faf89e0 ugb-icon-list--v2 ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-faf89e0 li::before{background-image:url('data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCAxOTAgMTkwIj48cG9seWdvbiBwb2ludHM9IjE3My44LDI4LjQgNjAuNCwxNDEuOCAxNS43LDk3LjIgNS4xLDEwNy44IDYwLjQsMTYzIDE4NC40LDM5IDE3My44LDI4LjQiLz48L3N2Zz4=')}.ugb-faf89e0.ugb-icon-list ul{columns:1}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><ul><li>GPS<\/li><li>Wi-Fi<\/li><li>Bluetooth-LE<\/li><li>Phone<\/li><li>Activity <\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Time and space resolution is very high, but no personal information is tracked.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How are the data processed?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>We received the data already anonymized and aggregated to a maximum resolution of hundreds of meters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"577\" height=\"534\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12.png\" alt=\"H3 grid (more at https:\/\/eng.uber.com\/h3\/)\" class=\"wp-image-1402\" title=\"H3 grid (more at https:\/\/eng.uber.com\/h3\/)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12.png 577w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12-300x278.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image12-332x307.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 577px) 100vw, 577px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Social Isolation<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Set H3 location of residence based on past positions during the night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isolation Index: From those living in a certain H3, what percentage left the cell during the day?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cities and States are aggregates from H3 level 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mobility<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Mobility between places (usually cities) is measured from trip counts from users&#8217; sequences of positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We aggregate millions of trips between cities to infer flux between cities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>H3 Grids (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/h3geo.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/h3geo.org\/<\/a>) :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-black-color has-white-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-block-list\">\n<li>Social Isolation<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mobility between places<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Levels:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cities<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Neighborhoods (H3 level 8, ~460 m wide)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>States and larges regions<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image18-1-280x300-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/image18-1-280x300-1-edited-1.png\" alt=\"Exemplo de amostragem em malha H3 (https:\/\/eng.uber.com\/h3\/)\" class=\"wp-image-1410\" style=\"width:395px;height:245px\" width=\"395\" height=\"245\" title=\"Exemplo de amostragem em malha H3 (https:\/\/eng.uber.com\/h3\/)\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-fde4541 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-fde4541 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"iso_index\">Social Isolation Index  <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Panel with the index for thousands of Brazilian cities. Click on the map to see data!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-very-dark-gray-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<p>The index represents the percentage of people leaving their homes during a given day. We produce 2 graphs:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Daily isolation IndexIndice and week moving average of index.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Relative variation of the index from a period prior to pandemic (relative to Feb 2020).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This analysis uses a sample from Inloco company, which does not take into account all the population and may have biases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br \/><em>(Click on the map to see indexes)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<p class=\"has-text-color\" style=\"color:#2a2e89\">Isolation Index<\/p>\n\n\n\n <!-- start Fla-shop.com HTML5 Map --> <div class='freeHtmlMapbottom htmlMapResponsive' style='max-width:1200px; width: 100%'> <div id='map-container-0' class='freeHtmlMapContainer' data-map-variable='map0'><\/div> <link href='https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/plugins\/html5-maps\/static\/css\/map.css' rel='stylesheet'> <style> body .fm-tooltip { color: #000000; font-size: 20px; } <\/style> <script src='\/\/cdn.html5maps.com\/3d_party\/raphael.min.js'><\/script> <script src='https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/index.php?freemap_js_data=true&map_id=0&r=14379'><\/script> <script src='\/\/cdn.html5maps.com\/libs\/locator\/2.4.0\/brazil\/map.js'><\/script> <script> var map0 = new FlaMap(map_cfg); map0.drawOnDomReady('map-container-0'); map0.on('click', function(ev, sid, map) { jQuery('#freeHtmlMapStateInfo0').html(''); var link = map.mapConfig.map_data[sid]['link']; if (link == '#info') { var id = map.mapConfig.map_data[sid]['id']; jQuery('#freeHtmlMapStateInfo0').html('Loading...'); jQuery.ajax({ type: 'POST', url: 'https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/index.php?freemap_get_state_info='+id+'&map_id=0', success: function(data, textStatus, jqXHR){ jQuery('#freeHtmlMapStateInfo0').html(data); }, dataType: 'text' }); } }); <\/script> <div id='freeHtmlMapStateInfo0' class='freeHtmlMapStateInfo'><\/div> <\/div> <div style='clear: both'><\/div> <!-- end HTML5 Map --> \n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/iso_index\/plots\/isol_SAOPAULO_SP.png\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Example of Social Isolation Index: S\u00e3o Paulo &#8211; SP.<\/strong> Lines indicate moving average (7 days)<br \/><br \/><br \/><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-978b4de ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-978b4de hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"mobility\"> Mobility Analyses <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_BRA_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Trips between brazilian cities<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_SP_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_Nordeste_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zoom Nordeste<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_NordesteLitoral_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zoom Litoral Nordeste<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_Centro-Sudeste_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zoom Centro Sudeste<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Flux_Zoom_Sul-Sudeste_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zoom Sudeste &#8211; Sul<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Zoom_RMSP_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o de viagens entre munic\u00edpios incluindo isolamento social<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Zoom_RMRJ_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Zoom_RMCTBA_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/covid19-data\/flux\/Brasil_Municip_Network_Zoom_RMGO_anim2020-02-01_2020-07-21.mp4\"><\/video><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-a86e15c ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-a86e15c hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"risk_mobility\"> Modeling future spread of infections via mobile geolocation data and population dynamics <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Risk analysis for 2 states of Brazil, based on a spreading model using mobile geolocation data.  <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0235732\" target=\"_blank\">Plos One<\/a>, (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.04.07.20056739v1\" target=\"_blank\">medrxiv<\/a>) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"681\" height=\"86\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1604\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn.png 681w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn-300x38.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/CodeCogsEqn-332x42.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 681px) 100vw, 681px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Network model<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Como o coronav\u00edrus pode se espalhar em S\u00e3o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro?\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/KwJbBaURZaE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Dissemination video &#8211; Thanks to LM|<a href=\"https:\/\/www.assessoriaestatistica.com.br\">Assessoria Estat\u00edstica<\/a> (portuguese only)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Warning<\/strong>: This model is not intended to capture the correct amount of infected individuals, but it captures the spreading patterns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video height=\"1500\" style=\"aspect-ratio: 3000 \/ 1500;\" width=\"3000\" controls src=\"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/SP_model_r04_s1-1.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Spatial-temporal infection model simulation assuming an infection rate of 0.4 and 1 infected person on the 1st of March in the city of S\u00e3o Paulo. More details in the P<a href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0235732\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">LOS-ONE paper.<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-1024x624.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-904\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-1024x624.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-768x468.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-700x426.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-332x202.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14-268x164.png 268w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig14.png 1422w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Rank of infection (filled circles, left axis)  and number of confirmed COVID19  cases (filled triangles, right axis) for S\u00e3o Paulo state on the 1st of May 2020. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video height=\"1500\" style=\"aspect-ratio: 3000 \/ 1500;\" width=\"3000\" controls src=\"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/RJ_model_r04_s1-1.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Spatial-temporal infection model simulation assuming an infection rate of 0.4 and 1 infected person on the 1st of March in the city of Rio de Janeiro. More details in the <a href=\"https:\/\/journals.plos.org\/plosone\/article?id=10.1371\/journal.pone.0235732\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PLOS-ONE paper.<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-1024x624.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-905\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-1024x624.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-768x468.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-700x426.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-332x202.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15-268x164.png 268w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Fig15.png 1422w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Rank of infection (filled circles, left axis) and number of confirmed COVID19 cases (filled triangles, right axis) for Rio de Janeiro state on the 1st of May 2020.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-3da39fe ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-3da39fe hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"social_isol\"> Social Distancing and epidemic dynamics <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A snapshot of a pandemic: The interplay between social isolation and COVID-19 dynamics in Brazil. Published in Patterns (Cell Press). (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.patter.2021.100349\" target=\"_blank\">DOI<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, governments used mobility data to assess the effectiveness of social distancing policies, but is it really possible to measure the effectiveness of epidemic control measures using mobility data? In this work, we found that the relationship between mobility data and epidemic metrics is far from being simple in heterogeneous countries such as Brazil, but there are clear relations between them if other factors are taken into account. We have found two regimes under which the outcome of epidemic control measures are related to mobility data, which depend on when social distancing policies were implemented. Early implementation of social restrictions as a preventive measure leads to lower incidence peaks with an overall smaller intensity of the restrictions, while the implementation at later stages, as a remedy for high epidemic metrics, while effective, requires a greater intensity of the restrictions and may bring a greater burden to the health system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"771\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-771x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1526\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-771x1024.jpg 771w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-226x300.jpg 226w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-768x1021.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-1156x1536.jpg 1156w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-1541x2048.jpg 1541w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-700x930.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-332x441.jpg 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/gr5_lrg-1-scaled.jpg 1926w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 771px) 100vw, 771px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The dispersion between the mean relative isolation index of 1 week ago and the 7-day moving average of incidence for 32 cities during the upward phase. Colors refer to the stage. The line is a LOESS . The value of S is the skewness coefficient of the normalized LOESS curve.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-7ef18a4 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-7ef18a4 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"genomic\"> Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Effort in collaboration with <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.caddecentre.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">CADDE<\/a> and other collaborators (<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.06.11.20128249v2\" target=\"_blank\">MEDRXIV<\/a> , <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/07\/22\/science.abd2161\" target=\"_blank\">DOI<\/a>),  published in <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/07\/22\/science.abd2161\" target=\"_blank\">Science<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/07\/22\/science.abd2161\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"833\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-1024x833.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-853\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-1024x833.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-300x244.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-768x625.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-1536x1250.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-2048x1667.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-700x570.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/3Eu1ld-332x270.jpg 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(A) Spatiotemporal reconstruction of the spread of Brazilian SARS-CoV-2 clusters containing 3 or more sequences during the first phase (left) and the second epidemic phase (right). Circles represent nodes of the MCC phylogeny and are coloured according to their inferred time of occurrence. (B) Estimated number of within state (or within a given federal unit) and between-state (or between federal units) virus migrations over time. (C) Average distance travelled by an air passenger per day in Brazil<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-add34d1 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-add34d1 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"highways\"> Regional Spreading Factors <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Study of several regional spreading factors. Collaboration with Miguel Nicolelis (Cons\u00f3rsio Nordeste\/Duke) and other partners. The <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.09.19.20197749v1.full.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">preprint<\/a> was divided into 2 papers, one with the spreading study, published in <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-021-92263-3\" target=\"_blank\">Nature Scientific Reports<\/a>, and the other, with Dengue related studies, was strongly modified and is under review in another journal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.09.19.20197749v1.full.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"946\" height=\"942\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1027\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46.png 946w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-768x765.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-700x697.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-332x331.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-10-46-268x268.png 268w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 946px) 100vw, 946px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Maps of Brazil representing the routes of the main<br \/>federal highways<\/strong>, as well as the evolution of the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases on three dates (April 1st, June 1st, and August 1st), and the distribution of COVID-19 deaths on August 1st (last column).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.09.19.20197749v1.full.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"738\" height=\"737\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02.png 738w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-700x699.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-332x332.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-432x432.png 432w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-20-03-02-268x268.png 268w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 738px) 100vw, 738px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Quantification of the Brazilian \u201cboomerang effect\u201d:<\/strong><br \/>Representation of all \u201cboomerangs\u201d that occurred around major Brazilian state capitals and mid-size cities across the whole country. In this map, arcs represent the flow of people from the interior towards the capital. The arc color code represents the number of interior cities that sent severely ill patients to be admitted in hospitals in a capital or mid-size town; red being the highest number of locations, orange and yellow next, while a smaller number of locations are represented in light blue. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"995\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-1024x995.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1073\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-1024x995.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-300x291.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-768x746.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-700x680.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized-332x323.jpg 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Figure1-reduced.resized.jpg 1259w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><br \/><strong>Dengue versus COVID: <\/strong>(A) Bars represent the day the first COVID-19 case (blue bars) was officially reported in each state (using S\u00e3o Paulo\u2019s first case on February 26<sup>th<\/sup> , 2020 as the 0 reference), the number of days estimated by a mathematical model for each state to reach 500 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (yellow bars), and the days in which each of Brazilian states actually reach the mark of 500 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (orange bars). Notice how much longer it took for MT, BA, SC, SP, GO, MS, PR, MG to reach the 500\/100,000 milestone. (B) Comparison of the evolution of COVID-19 (yellow line), dengue 2019 and dengue 2020 new cases per epidemiological week. (C, D, and E) Comparison between the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases (C), and incidence (C) until June 30<sup>th<\/sup> , 2020, and dengue fever cases and incidence in Brazil (D and D\u2019) until May 31<sup>st<\/sup>, 2020, and for dengue cases and incidence (E and E\u2019) summing data from 2019 and until May 31<sup>st<\/sup>, 2020.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-9c3fac4 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-9c3fac4 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"robot\"> Robot Dance: optimal control of the pandemic<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Study of optimal control based on social distancing and hospital bed sharing on a complex network (Euro J. Comp. Optimization). <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.optimization-online.org\/DB_HTML\/2020\/10\/8054.html\" target=\"_blank\">Preprint<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2192440622000016?v=s5\" target=\"_blank\">DOI<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.optimization-online.org\/DB_HTML\/2020\/10\/8054.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"495\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-1024x495.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1054\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-1024x495.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-300x145.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-768x372.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-1536x743.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-700x339.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12-332x161.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screenshot-from-2020-11-23-21-17-12.png 1571w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Robot dance in action<\/strong>: The left map zooms in the connections between the SP city and the SW district. The link SP-SW is critical for the network, but preventing commuting eliminating the link) is not the solution. The middle graph shows that cutting the circulation in the link has practically no effect on the situation in SW\/SP. By contrast, as shown in the bottom graph, allowing for commuting between the nodes (keeping the link) while implementing a pool of ICU beds improves significantly the overall state for SW without affecting much the situation in SP.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-11d4c36 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-11d4c36 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"attackrate\"> Attack rate in Manaus compared to S\u00e3o Paulo <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Paper &#8220;Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic&#8221;, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/12\/07\/science.abe9728\" target=\"_blank\">Science<\/a>, 2020. See also comment in <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(21)00183-5\/fulltext\" target=\"_blank\">Lancet<\/a>, 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/12\/07\/science.abe9728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"893\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-893x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1303\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-893x1024.png 893w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-262x300.png 262w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-768x880.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-700x802.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp-332x381.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.png 1285w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 893px) 100vw, 893px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence estimates in Manaus (A) and S\u00e3o Paulo (C) with a range of corrections. Error bars are 95% confidence intervals. Grey bars are standardized daily mortality using confirmed COVID-19 deaths from the SIVEP-Gripe (<a href=\"https:\/\/covid.saude.gov.br\/\">https:\/\/covid.saude.gov.br\/<\/a>) notification system and standardized by the direct method using the total projected Brazilian population for 2020 as reference. Black lines are rescaled cumulative deaths, such that the maximum is set to the maximum seroprevalence estimate for each city.&nbsp;<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-3fcef55 ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-3fcef55 hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"p1\"> Spreading of P1 variant (Manaus)\n <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Genomics and epidemiology of the P.1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil. <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2021.02.26.21252554v1\" target=\"_blank\">Pre-print<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2021\/04\/13\/science.abh2644\" target=\"_blank\">Science<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1010\" height=\"899\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50.png 1010w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50-300x267.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50-768x684.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50-700x623.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screenshot-from-2021-03-05-13-30-50-332x296.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1010px) 100vw, 1010px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Trips registered in Novembre from Manaus to other cities of the country (Inloco data).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ugb-divider ugb-divider ugb-1c601db ugb-divider--v2 ugb-divider--design-basic ugb-main-block\"><style>.ugb-1c601db hr.ugb-divider__hr{height:2px !important;width:54% !important;margin-left:auto !important;margin-right:auto !important}<\/style><div class=\"ugb-inner-block\"><div class=\"ugb-block-content\"><hr class=\"ugb-divider__hr\"\/><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"vulnerability\"> Social and Racial Vulnerabilities in S\u00e3o Paulo <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Higher risk of death from COVID-19 in low-income and non-White populations of S\u00e3o Paulo, Brazil. <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.12.09.20246207v2\" target=\"_blank\">MEDRXIV<\/a>, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/gh.bmj.com\/content\/6\/4\/e004959\" target=\"_blank\">BMJ Global Health<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"688\" height=\"621\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.resized.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1315\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.resized.png 688w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.resized-300x271.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/tmp.resized-332x300.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 688px) 100vw, 688px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Relative risk of SARI hospitalisation for the GMSP (A). Seven-day moving average of daily median levels in social distancing by race (B) and income (C). Difference in daily social isolation by race (D) and income groups (E) after the introduction of NPI. In Panels (B) and (C), solid lines show population-weighted median isolation levels and shaded areas show population-weighted interquartile range (25%-75%). Dashed vertical lines indicate the dates of NPIs that closed schools (March 13 state NPI) and non-essential activities (March 18 and 22, municipal and state NPIs respectively).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"seismic\"> Social Isolation and seismic vibrations <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/journal\/19448007\" target=\"_blank\">Geophys.&nbsp;Res.&nbsp;Lett.<\/a>: &#8220;Using Seismic Noise Levels to Monitor Social Isolation: An Example from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil&#8221; <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/2020gl088748r_merged_pdf\/\" target=\"_blank\">(pre-print<\/a> , <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1029\/2020GL088748\" target=\"_blank\">published<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/2020gl088748r_merged_pdf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"416\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-1024x416.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-852\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-1024x416.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-300x122.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-768x312.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-1536x624.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-2048x832.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-700x285.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/2020GL088748R_Figure_2-332x135.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Comparison of seismic noise level (blue and dark blue lines, in nm\/s, left scale) with the<br \/>&#8220;In Loco&#8221; Social Distancing Index (Ik, red line, fraction of the population staying at home). <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"scale_free\"> Scale free (fractal) dynamics of COVID-19 <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In modeling the spread of diseases, a major question is how to formulate the mechanism of contact between infectious individuals and others in the population. Some of the key issues are: if one person is infected with the disease, how many other people will be at risk? How does the number of contacts differ from person to person? And how does this number change in face of social-distancing measures? In this paper, we describe a model for disease spread in which each infectious individual has a small number of contacts that is independent of the stage of the epidemic and of population size. We find that a&#8221;scale-free&#8221; or &#8220;fractal&#8221; model of contagion describes detailed data obtained from a city in Brazil better than traditional models of infectious diseases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scale-free dynamics of Covid-19 in a Brazilian city. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2023, 121, pp.166-184.  <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.apm.2023.03.039\" target=\"_blank\">DOI<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1006\" height=\"497\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1536\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-1.png 1006w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-1-300x148.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-1-768x379.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-1-700x346.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/SocialIsolation-1-332x164.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1006px) 100vw, 1006px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Social Isolation Metrics for the city of S\u00e3o Caetano do Sul indicating the percentage of people that stayed home during the respective day. Two indexes are shown: in blue, the index from the Inloco company and in green the official index from the state government of S\u00e3o Paulo. The daily index is shown in light colours and the seven-day moving average is shown in dark colours, for each source. Horizontal bars indicate the average social isolation index, using the official government dataset, of the first and second waves. The figure shows how adherence to social distancing policies was drastically reduced in the second wave compared to the first wave<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"agradecimentos\"> Collaborators, partners and acknowledgements &#8211; Thanks! <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Team, collaborators and partner organizations:<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Colegas e alunos do <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/map\/\" target=\"_blank\">Departamento de Matem\u00e1tica Aplicada do IME-USP<\/a>: S\u00e9rgio Oliva, Cl\u00e1udia Peixoto, Renato Vicente, Diego Marcondes (doutorando), Milena Oliveira (mestranda).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.inloco.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">InLoco<\/a>, em especial o Afonso Delgado. Boa parte das pesquisas realizadas s\u00e3o essencialmente baseadas em dados de mobilidade fornecidos pela empresa, que tem sido uma parceira de primeira desde 2018, em estudos relacionados a dissimina\u00e7\u00e3o de dengue no pa\u00eds.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.saopaulo.sp.gov.br\/coronavirus\/\" target=\"_blank\">Governo de Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo<\/a>, via Patr\u00edcia Ellen e assessores (especialmente a B\u00e1rbara R\u00e9gis) e Dimas Covas (diretor do Instituto Butantan), na confian\u00e7a e parceria dentro do centro de crise do estado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.comitecientifico-ne.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">Cons\u00f3rcio Nordeste<\/a>, via Rafael Raimundo (UFPB) e Miguel Nicolelis (Duke).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/covid19br.github.io\/\" target=\"_blank\">Observat\u00f3rio-COVID19-BR <\/a>, em particular via Renato Coutinho (UFABC), Roberto Kraenkel (IFT-UNESP) e Paulo Prado (USP).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.caddecentre.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">CADDE<\/a>, especialmente Ester Sabino (USP), Nuno Faria (Oxford\/Imperial), e Rafael Pereira (IPEA), al\u00e9m dos alunos e outros pesquisadores envolvidos.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.covidradar.org.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">COVID-RADAR<\/a>, em particular o Sami Yamouni (Serasa) e Fabr\u00edcio Vasselai (Michigan), al\u00e9m de outros pesquisadores envolvidos na iniciativa.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.cemeai.icmc.usp.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">CEPID-CeMEAI<\/a>, em particular os pesquisadores Paulo Silva e Silva (UNICAMP), Luis Nonato (ICMC), Claudia Sagastiz\u00e1bal (UNICAMP) e Tiago Pereira (ICMC) na iniciativa <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.unicamp.br\/~pjssilva\/pdfs\/papers\/robot-dance.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">RobotDance<\/a> e outros.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.todospelasaude.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">Itau &#8211; Todos pela Sa\u00fade<\/a>, em particular nos projetos de revis\u00e3o de Mortalidade (Paulo Lotufo &#8211; FM-USP) e no projeto de an\u00e1lise de imunidade de rebanho no Amazonas (Ester Sabino IMT-USP e CADDE).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Diversos professores e pesquisadores da USP, muitos que participaram de discuss\u00f5es iniciais, incluindo o reitor Vahan Agopyan, o pr\u00f3-reitor Carlos Carlotti e o Diretor do <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/\" target=\"_blank\">IME<\/a>, Junior Barrera, por ajudar a estreitar a parceria com o governo do estado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Lorena Barberia (USP e <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redepesquisasolidaria.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">Rede Pesquisa Solid\u00e1ria<\/a>) e colaborades.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.in.tum.de\/en\/caps\/staff\/martin-schreiber\/\" target=\"_blank\">Martin Schreiber (TU Munich)<\/a> &#8211; Long-time collaborator, helped out on the parallelization of geocoding for mobility data, allowing coupled mobility analysis of the whole country.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mariana Pereira de Melo (Escola de Engenharia de Lorena &#8211; USP) e Cl\u00e1udia Pio (UNESP)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Helder Nakaya (FCF-USP)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/covidbr.github.io\/pub\/1\" target=\"_blank\">S\u00edlvio Ferreira (UFV)<\/a> e alunos <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/covid19br.wcota.me\/\" target=\"_blank\">Wesley Cota <\/a>e Guilherme Costa<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Marcelo Assump\u00e7\u00e3o (IAG-USP) e colegas no divertido cruzamento de isolamento com vibra\u00e7\u00e3o s\u00edsmica.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Airton Deppman (F\u00edsica-USP) e colegas da f\u00edsica na an\u00e1lise &#8220;fractal&#8221; da covid-19.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Raquel Rolnik (FAU-USP) e colaboradores<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>LM|<a href=\"https:\/\/www.assessoriaestatistica.com.br\/\">Assessoria Estat\u00edstica<\/a> e Laryssa Costa<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>V\u00e1rios outros pesquisadores que temos colaborado nessa empreitada da COVID-19!<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/path754.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/path754.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1395\" style=\"width:130px;height:51px\" width=\"130\" height=\"51\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mapabrasileirodacovid.inloco.com.br\/pt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Logo-In-Loco2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-942\" style=\"width:112px;height:67px\" width=\"112\" height=\"67\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Logo-In-Loco2.png 500w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Logo-In-Loco2-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Logo-In-Loco2-332x199.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 112px) 100vw, 112px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.saopaulo.sp.gov.br\/coronavirus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1042\" style=\"width:103px;height:68px\" width=\"103\" height=\"68\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-1536x1025.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-700x467.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover-332x221.png 332w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cover.png 1772w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 103px) 100vw, 103px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coronavirus.butantan.gov.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/280b714d75a8a5b4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1065\" style=\"width:93px;height:93px\" width=\"93\" height=\"93\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/280b714d75a8a5b4.png 200w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/280b714d75a8a5b4-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 93px) 100vw, 93px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.comitecientifico-ne.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1051\" style=\"width:112px;height:71px\" width=\"112\" height=\"71\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop.jpg 816w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop-300x192.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop-768x490.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop-700x447.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/EApY9n5WsAAvqf_crop-332x212.jpg 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 112px) 100vw, 112px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/covid19br.github.io\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-1024x259.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1045\" style=\"width:152px;height:38px\" width=\"152\" height=\"38\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-1024x259.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-300x76.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-768x194.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-1536x389.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-2048x519.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-700x177.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/tmp-332x84.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 152px) 100vw, 152px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.caddecentre.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1046\" style=\"width:145px;height:37px\" width=\"145\" height=\"37\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde.png 859w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde-300x76.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde-768x196.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde-700x178.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cadde-332x85.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 145px) 100vw, 145px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covidradar.org.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-1024x299.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1047\" style=\"width:154px;height:45px\" width=\"154\" height=\"45\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-1024x299.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-300x88.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-768x224.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-1536x448.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-2048x598.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-700x204.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/saude_covidradar-332x97.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 154px) 100vw, 154px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cemeai.icmc.usp.br\/covid19\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/logo.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1048\" style=\"width:160px;height:43px\" width=\"160\" height=\"43\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.todospelasaude.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/doacoes-todos-pela-saude-itau-coronas.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1064\" style=\"width:152px;height:48px\" width=\"152\" height=\"48\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/doacoes-todos-pela-saude-itau-coronas.jpg 575w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/doacoes-todos-pela-saude-itau-coronas-300x95.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/doacoes-todos-pela-saude-itau-coronas-332x105.jpg 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 152px) 100vw, 152px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.assessoriaestatistica.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1050\" style=\"width:95px;height:95px\" width=\"95\" height=\"95\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download.jpeg 225w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download-150x150.jpeg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 95px) 100vw, 95px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Funding:<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/bv.fapesp.br\/pt\/pesquisador\/673594\/pedro-da-silva-peixoto\/\" target=\"_blank\">FAPESP<\/a> Jovem Pesquisador <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/bv.fapesp.br\/pt\/auxilios\/95524\/metodos-numericos-para-a-nova-geracao-de-modelos-de-previsao-de-tempo-e-clima\/\" target=\"_blank\">16\/18445-7<\/a> &#8211; e o servidor Ybytu<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CNPq (Bolsa Produtividade)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"365\" height=\"138\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/download.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-889\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/download.png 365w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/download-300x113.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/download-332x126.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 365px) 100vw, 365px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1041\" style=\"width:169px;height:126px\" width=\"169\" height=\"126\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico.png 990w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico-768x577.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico-700x526.png 700w, https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/cnpq-conselho-nacional-de-desenvolvimento-cientifico-e-tecnologico-332x250.png 332w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 169px) 100vw, 169px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since the beginning of the pandemic, we worked on the development of numerical methods and statistical analysis that could help the understanding and control of the pandemic. Most studies refer to analyses obtained from mobile mobility data, along with mathematical and statistical models. The studies involve a large team and a wide collaboration network (collaborators) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1464","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"featured_image_urls_v2":{"full":"","thumbnail":"","medium":"","medium_large":"","large":"","1536x1536":"","2048x2048":""},"post_excerpt_stackable_v2":"<p>Since the beginning of the pandemic, we worked on the development of numerical methods and statistical analysis that could help the understanding and control of the pandemic. Most studies refer to analyses obtained from mobile mobility data, along with mathematical and statistical models. The studies involve a large team and a wide collaboration network (collaborators) Mobility data About georeferenced mobile mobility data (inloco) Social Isolation index for thousands of Brazilian cities (March-2020 to March-2021) Mobility analyses between Brazilian cities Scientific Results Modeling future spread of infections via mobile geolocation data and population dynamics (Plos-ONE) Social distancing and epidemic dynamics (Cell&hellip;<\/p>\n","category_list_v2":"","author_info_v2":{"name":"Pedro","url":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/author\/pedrosp\/"},"comments_num_v2":"0 comments","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1464","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1464"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1464\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ime.usp.br\/~pedrosp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1464"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}